Sunday, June 20, 2010

Fossil-fuel Industry Influence Inside the IPCC

The work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is now being reviewed by the InterAcademy Council of sciences.

Below is the link for public input to the review.http://reviewipcc.interacademycouncil.net/comments.html

The economically motivated global warming deniers are aggressively working to have the IPCC climate change assessments further compromised by industry interests and fossil fuel producing government influence. The IPCC is already badly compromised in these respects.

The IPCC does not determine risks and does not define what would constitute dangerous interference with the climate system. The IP CC says that defining the dangerous climate change is a value judgment that only the policymakers can make ... although nobody knows what that means. (The website of Steven Schneider- long time American lead author of the IPCC) http://stephenschneider.stanford.edu/Climate/Climate_Policy/CliPolFrameset.html).

The IPCC panel is not, as we all would expect and naturally assume, a panel of scientists who are free to give their objective and expert findings, conclusions and recommendations for assessing global climate change.

Totally unqualified and undemocratically chosen government bureaucrats sit on the IPCC panel. Nothing about the assessment, no sentence and no language that can be published without all of these bureaucrats giving approval. This is unheard of in the world of science.

The IPCC scientists do not arrive at their conclusions by the weight of scientific objective and expert scientific judgment, as is the case in every endeavour of science apart from the IPCC. Every single scientist has to approve everything that is published.

Since soon after the start of the IPCC two Exxon Mobil employed scientists have sat on the IPCC panel as Exxon scientists. They have led IPCC workshops and they have been lead IPCC authors. Because of the IPCC consensus is by unanimity this gives Exxon huge power over the climate change assessments.

You’ll probably have seen the confusing IPCC scenarios by which the scientists project the fantastically wide range of temperature increases this century. The IPCC team that develops the scenarios include two scenario experts employed by Shell.

Economic oil industry interests and government influence within the Panel has resulted in the IPCC ignoring the very worst dangers of global climate change.

The world is on the brink of runaway global heating and climate disruption from the melt down of the summer Arctic sea ice and from Arctic methane carbon feedback emissions. This is a potentially catastrophic situation for all humanity and life on Earth.

However, it is not recognized in climate change policy making and negotiations because it is not included in the IPCC assessment. It is not included because the IPCC does not include the inevitable additional global temperature increases from any carbon feedbacks in its global average temperature projections. The IPCC acknowledges that these feedbacks are inevitable and that they will increase the global temperature further. This omission is a disgrace to science and is criminal negligence of the highest order.

The Arctic summer sea ice is disappearing three times faster than any of the IPCC climate change models predicted. As a result the current prediction is that the sea ice and its cooling albedo effect (from reflection of solar radiation) will be gone by 2030 and not around 2080 as the IPCC has it assessed. This loss albedo cooling effect is a most dangerous climate feedback which will accelerate the rate of global warming and has grave implications for its effect on the climate of the entire northern hemisphere.

This Arctic climate feedback is not included in the IPCC assessment projections of northern hemisphere or global temperature increase. This is high order criminal negligence.

We are absolutely committed to day to a global temperature increase of double the increase today because of the inertia in the climate system that has locked in at least another 0.6° C of heating in addition to today’s 0.8° C. This inevitable increase means catastrophe for food security in the tropical regions and in Africa.

Double today’s global average temperature increase of above 1.5° C also puts agriculture in many temperate regions and world agriculture production at grave risk. This includes the prairie grain growing regions that are still the breadbasket of the world. It also includes California. It means a permanent state of drought for the south-western United States.

However agriculture and world food security is not a priority of reason for concern in the IPCC assessment. The incredible reason for this is that the IPCC assumes that continued economic growth will result in a huge reduction in world hunger by 2080. This assumed reduction is so large that it mkes the effect of global climate change will be negligible and the IPCC predicts that world hunger will only be a quarter of what it is today. This of course is ridiculous because it is fossil fuel economic growth that drives a global warming and climate disruption which is allowed to continue will devastate world agriculture. This is criminal negligence of the highest order.
Please respond to the invitation for public input on the IPCC review.

The solution to this is simple and obvious. Employees of the fossil-fuel industry cannot sit on the IPCC panel because of the obvious huge conflict of interest. Government bureaucrats should no longer be included in the scientific panel. The IPCC must be totally free of any conflict of interest and must be totally uncompromised. The lives of our children everywhere and of all future generations are at stake.

Please tell the InterAcademy IPCC review that the science of global climate change must be assessed and recommendations made objectively and independently without inside influence from the fossil fuel industry and from governments controlled by the fossil-fuel industry.

Friday, June 18, 2010

In Too Deep

Welcome to the first blog of Radically Green. If you stay with me, the first topic has to be the Gulf of Mexico oil mega crime.

On September 3 2009 Trans Ocean and BP announced they had drilled the deepest oil and gas well ever in the Gulf of Mexico. The rig that did it was called the Deepwater Horizon. With the record drill they announced a new Bonanza for the oil industry. The Deepwater Horizon floating in 4ooo feet of water used almost a million pounds of well casing, to penetrate 31,000 feet below the sea floor. That is more than six miles below the bottom of the ocean. The sea is icy cold at nearly a mile deep but the temperature of the oil in the well miles below was 250 degrees.

It’s a crazy business.

This was the absolute limit that the Deepwater Horizon had been designed to drill. Incredible though the technology is, there is no such thing as safety from catastrophe in this ultra deep-sea oil play. To the environmentally perverse free market economy and particularly the fossil-fuel industry there’s no such thing as a catastrophe to Nature.

But first a little introduction on the nature of this blog .I had a nasty and radicalizing thought recently. I realized (on my birthday), that ever since I was born into this wonderful and miraculous planet Earth, all life had been undergoing a constant increasing and deadly assault. I realized that for the past 30 years at least we have known (and in fact it has been formally acknowledged) that this all out assault on every system of the biosphere had escalated towards the total destruction of all that we recognize and cherish as life on Earth. It’s insane. This came as a shock - a real downer for my birthday. Then I remembered my personal motto as a medic doing in a lot of emergency work- ‘Never give up on life’. It had served me well.

I figured this old dog could learn how to blog.

There are some obvious immediate solutions to British Petroleum’s enormous criminal pollution of the Gulf of Mexico. BP must get out of the Gulf. All ultra deep sea oil drilling must stop. Stop it now and stop it worldwide. There have been other disasters deep under the sea.

The trouble is, in this criminalized civilization, there is no such thing as a crime against Nature – even crimes against Humanity generally get rewarded rather than punished. We have to reinvent justice.

The Deepwater Horizon was an ultra deep sea oil rig that was carrying out a desperate and reckless ultra deep experiment with the Gulf of Mexico. I sensed this to be true from what BP's PR peopl.e said every time the company tried something to stop the haemorrhaging of oil into the Gulf. Each time BP said it didn’t know if the idea at the time would work - because the procedure had never been done at such a depth before. It dawned on me that BP was conducting a huge experiment.

There were next to no safety procedures done because BP knew nothing could be relied on to work at this depth if there were a blow out.

It’s always been like this – since the industrial revolution that is. It’s called economic and industrial development. It’s the American way, now the world way. Nothing is too big to take on and to fix when things go wrong. That’s called progress these days.

We have to redefine progress and reinvent development. We have to think big and think far. That’s big as Earth and far as seven generations.The Deep Horizon truth was finally, inadvertently, told by the head of BP.

As a supporting act, how’s this for a business response? “I think we forgot just how dangerous drilling for oil in the deepwater really is.” That was Jeff Rubin, a former chief economist at CIBC World Markets. Indeed ultra deep sea drilling is catastrophically dangerous. The forgetting was intentional. That does not matter to our uncivil civilization because planetary damages count for nothing in our corrupt economy of financial wealth.

Appearing before the US House Energy Committee BP’s chief executive Tony Hayward made it clear as oily water. ‘I want to acknowledge the questions that you and the public are rightly asking. How could this happen? How damaging is the spill to the environment? Why is it taking so long to stop the flow of oil and gas into The Gulf? Can we as a society explore for oil and gas in safer and more reliable ways? What is the appropriate regulatory framework for the industry? We don't yet have answers to all these important questions.

’‘We don't yet have answers to all these important questions.’!! What he said is there were no answers to the deplorable catastrophic risks of ultra deep sea drilling. It is a crazy idea that should never have been permitted in the first place. He is saying that he and his gang have decided there will be no answers. It is a calculated statement exerting corporate power over the world.

Hayward gets paid an annual salary of £998,000 and in 2008 his bonus was £1,496,000. What could make one man worth all that money? Nothing of course. It is a statement of world power.

Here is further proof in the Hayward statement of the mad deep sea experiment. ‘As the scope of the unfolding disaster became more apparent, we reached out to additional scientists and engineers from our partners and competitors in the energy industry, as well as engineering firms, academia, government and the military.’

None of them had any answers. There were, are and there will be none. It’s way way too deep and dangerous a mile under water and more miles below the ocean floor.It was and is planned to continue to be an experiment. If all the life in the Gulf were to die so much the better for the oil industry, not to mention people’s pension funds.

Murdering Nature in this civilization is good for business. We have to reinvent business.

A good start is to start to put BP out of business.
http://www.facebook.com/pages/Boycott-BP/119101198107726#!

A saga at sea to be continued.

My thanks to Wikipedia and the Wall Street Journal for the information.